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08.10.2025 12:09 PM
EUR/USD. Analysis and Forecast

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Today, the EUR/USD pair is under pressure, despite comments from former French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu, who denied the possibility of new elections and assured that the budget would be approved by the end of the year, thereby easing some of the negative pressure on the euro. Earlier in the day, the euro came under increased pressure from French President Emmanuel Macron, who pushed for early elections amid growing criticism within his own team. Former allies joined the opposition parties' demands for elections or resignation, while rating agencies warned of a possible downgrade of France's sovereign credit rating if the political crisis drags on.

Across the Atlantic, the situation is not much better. Leaders of the Democratic and Republican parties in the U.S. Senate continue to seek ways to restore funding, as the "shutdown" has already lasted into its second week, and the chances of ending it this week have dropped to 23%, according to a Polymarket poll. The lack of progress has started to negatively affect market sentiment, boosting demand for the dollar and other safe-haven assets.

On Wednesday's economic calendar, the key event will be the release of the minutes from the latest Federal Reserve meeting. Comments from Fed officials are also expected during the U.S. session, along with a speech from ECB President Christine Lagarde.

From a technical perspective, oscillators on the daily chart have begun to gain negative momentum. Prices are also moving below the 100-day SMA, currently at 1.1625. If prices fail to hold this level, as well as the round 1.1600 mark, the pair will accelerate its decline toward the next round level at 1.1500. If prices manage to return above the 100-day SMA, then bulls may regain some hope for a positive outlook.

Below is a table showing the percentage change of the euro against major currencies for today. The euro has been strongest against the New Zealand dollar.

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Irina Yanina,
الخبير التحليلي لدى شركة إنستافوركس
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Irina Yanina
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كسب عائد من تغيرات أسعار العملات المشفرة مع إنستافوركس.
قم بتحميل منصة التداول ميتاتريدر 4 وافتح أول صفقة.
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  • إيداع الحظ
    قم بإيداع 3,000 دولار في حسابك واحصل على $1,000 وأكثر من ذالك!
    في أكتوبر نحن نقدم باليانصيب $1,000 ضمن حملة إيداع الحظ!
    احصل على فرصة للفوز من خلال إيداع 3,000 دولار في حساب تداول. بعد أن استوفيت هذا الشرط، تصبح مشاركًا في الحملة.
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  • تداول بحكمة، اربح جهازا
    قم بتعبئة حسابك بمبلغ لا يقل عن 500 دولار ، واشترك في المسابقة ، واحصل على فرصة للفوز بأجهزة الجوال.
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  • بونص 100٪
    فرصتك الفريدة للحصول على بونص 100٪ على إيداعك
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  • بونص 55٪
    تقدم بطلب للحصول على بونص 55٪ على كل إيداع
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  • بونص 30٪
    احصل على بونص 30٪ في كل مرة تقوم فيها بتعبئة حسابك
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