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21.08.2025 05:50 AM
2025年8月21日 英鎊/美元預測

昨日,英鎊下跌超過30點,達到中間支撐位1.3452。通脹數據顯示幾乎所有主要指數都有上升:核心消費者物價指數從3.7% y/y上升至3.8% y/y,整體消費者物價指數從3.6% y/y上升至3.8% y/y,零售物價指數從4.4% y/y上升至4.8% y/y,而房價指數從3.9% y/y下降至3.7% y/y。

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投資者對數據的忽視可歸因於他們最近的行為:在8月7日最後一次降息後,他們購買了英鎊,但現在他們更願意在5月和6月的一個舒適支撐位等待Powell在Jackson Hole的講話。

在H4圖表上,價格已經開始在1.3452水平盤整。Marlin震盪指標略微上升,這可能表明交易者願意繼續進行調整。

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目前水平下的整固不會發出朝向1.3364突破的明確信號,因為在最新的美英通脹數據以及美聯儲內部分歧跡象顯現後,市場對美聯儲主席即將發表的講話予以更高關注。然而,這樣的整固會增加出現此類波動的可能性。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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