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04.08.2025 10:21 AM
EUR/USD. Indicator Analysis and Daily Review on August 4, 2025
Trend analysis (fig. 1)

On Monday, the market may start a corrective move downward from the 1.3278 level (Friday's daily close), targeting 1.3243 – the 14.6% retracement level (red dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may resume its upward movement toward 1.3337 – the 38.2% retracement level (red dotted line). Once this level is reached, a downward correction is possible, with a target at 1.3318 – the 8-period EMA (thin blue line).

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Fig. 1 (Daily Chart)

Comprehensive Analysis:

  • Indicator analysis – upward
  • Fibonacci levels – upward
  • Volumes – upward
  • Candlestick analysis – upward
  • Trend analysis – upward
  • Bollinger Bands – upward
  • Weekly chart – upward

Overall conclusion: Upward trend.

Alternative scenario: From the 1.3278 level (Friday's daily close), the price may begin a downward correction, targeting 1.3243 – the 14.6% retracement level (red dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may continue moving upward toward 1.3364 – the upper fractal (blue dotted line). Once this level is reached, a downward correction may follow, targeting 1.3338 – the 38.2% retracement level (red dotted line).

Stefan Doll,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
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