17.06.202516:00:00UTC+00U.S. GDP Growth Estimate Slightly Declines to 3.5% in Q2 2025, Says Atlanta Fed

In an updated assessment that adds nuance to the economic outlook for the United States, the Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDPNow model revised its real GDP growth estimate to 3.5% for the second quarter of 2025. This slight decrease from the preceding estimate of 3.8% comes amid ongoing scrutiny of economic performance indicators.

The adjustment, recorded on June 17, 2025, reflects varied inputs considered by the Atlanta Fed, including consumer spending, business investment, and export trends. Such factors are crucial to understanding the broader shifts in economic dynamics, providing policymakers and market participants with fresh insights into the growth trajectory.

While the adjustment may reflect a modest tapering in anticipated economic activity for the quarter, the estimated growth rate of 3.5% still underscores a robust economic expansion. Stakeholders will be eyeing whether forthcoming data will reinforce the current trajectory or prompt further adjustments to the GDPNow estimates as economic conditions evolve.